7
Jez Bomb
5yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 82
Pontefract · Simon Scrope Dalby Screw-Driver Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 5y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#2
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Beverley | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Pontefract | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Pontefract | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Pontefract | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Pontefract | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 13/05/2026 | 15th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.07 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 12/06/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 16/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |