5
Wahdan
5yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 82
Pontefract · Simon Scrope Dalby Screw-Driver Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 5y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | York | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Beverley | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Thirsk | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Chester | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 26/09/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |