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L'Eagle Aid

5yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 70

Pontefract · Pontefract Prince Of Wales Hospice Handicap · 1m 4f 5y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual winner at around this trip in 2025 and caught the eye when third at Chester on his penultimate outing, coming home to good effect under only hands and heels. Possibly unsuited by softer ground at Beverley last time and worth considering if rain stays away.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ York 26/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 78 · 1m3f188y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/07/2025 · OR 78 par26/073OR 784 @ Newcastle 21/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 78 · 1m4f98y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Musselburgh 12/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 77 · 1m4f104y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 77 par12/044OR 774 @ Chester 08/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 76 · 1m4f63y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Chester 27/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 75 · 1m4f63y Goo 142 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 75 par27/065OR 755 @ Chester 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 75 · 1m4f63y Goo 135 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Catterick 22/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 75 · 1m4f13y GF 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 75 par22/074OR 754 @ Chester 02/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 73 · 1m4f63y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Beverley 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 72 · 1m4f23y Sft 139 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 72 par29/085OR 72projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Beverley56th6th0
2026-08-02Chester43rd2nd+1
2026-07-22Catterick43rd2nd+1
2026-07-11Chester55th5th0
2026-06-27Chester53rd3rd0
2026-05-08Chester46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/078/0522/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength29%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/20256th15/261%38%-0.23
21/03/20265th11/271%33%-0.38
12/04/20266th12/137%62%+0.25
08/05/20266th9/276%64%-0.12
27/06/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02
11/07/20265th10/382%43%-0.40
22/07/20263rd15/890%33%-0.57
02/08/20263rd11/142%67%+0.25
29/08/20266th4/179%29%-0.50