8
Bell Shot
7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 80
Pontefract · Explore Shared Racehorse Ownership At inthepaddock.co.uk Handicap · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Beverley | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Pontefract | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newmarket | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Beverley | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 06/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 30% | -0.31 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 12/08/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |