Big Fun
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 78
Pontefract · Explore Shared Racehorse Ownership At inthepaddock.co.uk Handicap · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Chester | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Musselburgh | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Thirsk | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Thirsk | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-07-19 | Newbury | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 15/06/2025 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |
| 01/07/2025 | 1st | 1/6 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 19/07/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 45% | -0.28 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |