Diamont Katie
4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 73
Pontefract · Explore Shared Racehorse Ownership At inthepaddock.co.uk Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
28%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chester | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-09-02 | Hamilton | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Musselburgh | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Catterick | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pontefract | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 21/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 28/07/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |