6

Gentle George

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 82

Pontefract · Explore Shared Racehorse Ownership At inthepaddock.co.uk Handicap · 6f

#15

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful twice for Mick Appleby last year but little impact for current yard this season. Gelded since last run and headgear also applied.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength53%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 30/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f Goo 13330/0644 @ Sandown 12/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f10y Sft 1334 @ Haydock 26/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f GS 13726/0942 @ Ascot 18/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 90 · 6f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 90 par2 @ Chester 07/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 96 · 7f127y Gd 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/05/2026 · OR 96 par7/052OR 962 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 18th of 27 · OR 95 · 5f GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 95 par2 @ York 11/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 92 · 7f192y Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 92 par11/072OR 923 @ Ayr 20/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 87 · 6f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 87 par20/073OR 87projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20Ayr39th8th+1
2026-07-11York29th7th+2
2026-06-19Royal Ascot218th16th+2
2026-05-07Chester210th8th+2
2025-10-18Ascot26th4th+2
2025-09-26Haydock41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0618/1011/0720/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength11%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/06/20256th14/126%38%+0.11
12/09/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
26/09/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
18/10/20256th28/10%50%+0.50
07/05/202610th50/10%18%+0.18
19/06/202618th66/10%35%+0.35
11/07/20269th66/10%33%+0.33
20/07/20269th18/15%0%-0.05