Go Vince Go
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 77
Pontefract · Explore Shared Racehorse Ownership At inthepaddock.co.uk Handicap · 6f
#13
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Carlisle | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | 2 | 17th | 15th | +2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Thirsk | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 13/06/2026 | 17th | 50/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 15/08/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 58% | -0.03 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |