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4

Gold Queen Kindly

3yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 84

Pontefract · Explore Shared Racehorse Ownership At inthepaddock.co.uk Handicap · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

28%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#1

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has yet to add to his Pontefract debut success last summer but ended his time with Karl Burke with creditable placed efforts and did best of those that raced up with the pace when fourth at York on debut for this yard in May, albeit carrying head a bit awkwardly.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength63%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 06/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 1336/0842 @ Ripon 16/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 6f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Newbury 20/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 83 · 6f GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 83 par20/091OR 833 @ Doncaster 24/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 91 · 6f2y Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 91 par2 @ Newcastle 16/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 88 · 6f Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 88 par16/012OR 882 @ Lingfield 27/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 87 · 6f1y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 87 par4 @ Southwell 05/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 84 · 7f14y Std 134 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 84 par5/044OR 844 @ Wetherby 26/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 84 · 7f Goo 134 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 84 par3 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 84 · 7f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 84 par13/053OR 84projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-13York34th3rd+1
2026-04-26Wetherby43rd3rd0
2026-04-05Southwell42nd2nd0
2026-02-27Lingfield211th9th+2
2026-01-16Newcastle29th7th+2
2025-10-24Doncaster34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0824/105/0413/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +8.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20251st1/297%100%+0.03
16/08/20252nd6/594%67%-0.27
20/09/20255th12/137%43%+0.06
24/10/20254th9/488%25%-0.63
16/01/20269th9/153%20%-0.33
27/02/202611th22/10%9%+0.09
05/04/20262nd9/153%86%+0.33
26/04/20263rd10/382%80%-0.02
13/05/20264th25/10%77%+0.77