15

Mister Sox
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 71
Pontefract · Explore Shared Racehorse Ownership At inthepaddock.co.uk Handicap · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Ripon | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Pontefract | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | York | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 54% | +0.01 |
| 12/06/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 11/07/2026 | 12th | 13/2 | 66% | 39% | -0.27 |
| 24/07/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 24% | -0.03 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 79% | +0.32 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |