Stanley Spencer
5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 80
Pontefract · Explore Shared Racehorse Ownership At inthepaddock.co.uk Handicap · 6f
#16
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Thirsk | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Chester | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Kempton | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-04 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |
| 01/01/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 45% | -0.36 |
| 29/01/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 55% | -0.09 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 28/03/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 22/08/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |