1

The Good Biscuit

5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 85

Pontefract · Explore Shared Racehorse Ownership At inthepaddock.co.uk Handicap · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back in fine form this summer and gained a third win over C&D last month, a fourth course success of his career. However, looks high enough in the weights now given his subsequent run at Thirsk.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chester 08/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 77 · 6f17y Goo 130 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 77 par8/054OR 774 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 78 · 6f6y Gd 133 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Pontefract 02/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 78 par2/064OR 783 @ Pontefract 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Catterick 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 75 · 5f212y GF 138 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 75 par15/074OR 754 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Pontefract 05/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 138 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 78 par5/084OR 783 @ Pontefract 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 81 · 6f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 81 par3 @ Thirsk 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 86 · 6f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 86 par5/093OR 86projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Thirsk35th4th+1
2026-08-16Pontefract31st0th+1
2026-08-05Pontefract46th6th0
2026-07-26Pontefract41st1st0
2026-07-15Catterick41st1st0
2026-06-21Pontefract34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0521/065/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength42%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20262nd11/271%91%+0.20
17/05/20268th17/255%42%-0.14
02/06/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
21/06/20264th11/271%40%-0.31
15/07/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
26/07/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
05/08/20266th7/282%29%-0.53
16/08/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
05/09/20265th11/271%50%-0.21