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12

Utmost Respect

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 76

Pontefract · Explore Shared Racehorse Ownership At inthepaddock.co.uk Handicap · 6f

#14

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Landed the odds in 5f maiden last summer and made the frame in nurseries on last 2 starts of the campaign. Still working his way back after a long absence this season, never a threat when mid-field at York 18 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 14/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS14/0521 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 23 · OR - · 5f GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Hamilton 12/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 5f7y Gd 13312/0742 @ York 20/08/2025 · Pos 14th of 19 · OR 87 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2025 · OR 87 par2 @ Ayr 19/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 86 · 6f Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 86 par19/092OR 863 @ York 10/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 84 · 5f Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 84 par2 @ York 25/07/2026 · Pos 20th of 21 · OR 82 · 6f Goo 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 82 par25/072OR 824 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 21 · OR 79 · 5f89y GS 136 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 79 par6/094OR 79projClass-projected finish: 12th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06York412th12th0
2026-07-25York220th18th+2
2025-10-10York34th3rd+1
2025-09-19Ayr24th2nd+2
2025-08-20York214th12th+2
2025-07-12Hamilton41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0520/0825/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength22%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20252nd11/486%80%-0.06
18/06/20257th10/147%73%+0.25
12/07/20251st1/499%100%+0.01
20/08/202514th4/179%28%-0.51
19/09/20254th11/142%63%+0.20
10/10/20254th11/271%70%-0.01
25/07/202620th50/10%5%+0.05
06/09/202612th40/10%45%+0.45