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5

Woodstock

6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 81

Pontefract · Explore Shared Racehorse Ownership At inthepaddock.co.uk Handicap · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Arrives in decent heart, building on some in-frame efforts to snap a 2-year losing run in a big field at Ripon. Good third at Thirsk next time despite having an interrupted run so he remains of strong interest.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength72%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 18/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 76 · 7f Goo 126 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 76 par18/044OR 763 @ Thirsk 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 75 · 7f Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Beverley 27/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 75 · 7f96y Goo 135 · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 75 par27/055OR 754 @ Thirsk 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 75 · 7f Goo 137 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Catterick 15/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 74 · 7f6y GF 130 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 74 par15/074OR 744 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 75 · 7f127y Goo 138 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 75 par3 @ Thirsk 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 77 · 7f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 77 par1/083OR 774 @ Ripon 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 20 · OR 76 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 76 par3 @ Thirsk 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 81 · 6f Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 81 par28/083OR 81projClass-projected finish: 1st of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Thirsk33rd2nd+1
2026-08-15Ripon41st1st0
2026-08-01Thirsk34th3rd+1
2026-07-25Chester42nd2nd0
2026-07-15Catterick42nd2nd0
2026-06-16Thirsk46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0416/061/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/20267th12/137%50%+0.13
16/05/20263rd6/168%82%+0.13
27/05/20264th3/184%70%-0.14
16/06/20266th11/486%44%-0.41
15/07/20262nd7/282%67%-0.15
25/07/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04
01/08/20264th11/142%79%+0.36
15/08/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
28/08/20263rd10/147%88%+0.41