3
Mckinsense
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 74
Remington Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
22%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-03-22 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -11.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 64% | -0.25 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |