2
Authentic Kitten
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 79
Remington Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 7f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
64%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Lone Star | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-07 | Lone Star | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-30 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-03-14 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 57% | -0.38 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |