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3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 70
Remington Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 7f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-12-27 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 12/09/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 70% | -0.18 |
| 27/12/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 01/05/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 27% | -0.52 |