Jelly Road

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 42

Remington Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 7f 110y

#11

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark

Move▼1

Strength60%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-06	Remington Park	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-08-28	Remington Park	?	9th	6th	+3	4.0
2026-06-20	Lone Star	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-04-13	Will Rogers Downs	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▲

Strength57%

Delivery trend +10.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
13/04/2026	8th	14/1	26%	13%	-0.14
20/06/2026	6th	20/1	0%	17%	+0.17
28/08/2026	9th	25/1	0%	11%	+0.11
06/09/2026	4th	14/1	26%	50%	+0.24