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12

Miss Popularity

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 59

Remington Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 7f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength94%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +3.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Remington Park 21/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS21/09C6C5 @ Remington Park 17/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 65 par17/10C5OR 65C0 @ Remington Park 08/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m Fas 1188/11C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-08Remington Park?7th7th0
2025-10-17Remington Park?7th2nd+4
2025-09-21Remington Park?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0917/108/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength63%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20256th10/147%44%-0.03
17/10/20257th50/10%40%+0.40
08/11/20257th40/10%0%0.00