6

Swiftliketaylor

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 69

Remington Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 7f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength63%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Sam Houston Race Park 22/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 57 · 6f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/02/2026 · OR 57 par22/02C6OR 57C6 @ Sam Houston Race Park 21/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 55 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 55 parC6 @ Lone Star 18/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 55 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 55 par18/04C6OR 55C9 @ Lone Star 09/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 57 · 5f Fas 118 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 57 parC9 @ Lone Star 31/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 56 · 7f Fas 118 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 56 par31/05C9OR 56C6 @ Lone Star 20/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 53 · 5f Slo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 53 parC9 @ Lone Star 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 53 · 5f Fm 118 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 53 par27/06C9OR 53C6 @ Lone Star 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 57 · 7f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 57 parC9 @ Remington Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 66 · 1m Fm 117 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 66 par29/08C9OR 66projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Remington Park?2nd2nd0
2026-07-11Lone Star?2nd-1th+3
2026-06-27Lone Star?2nd2nd0
2026-06-20Lone Star?7th4th+3
2026-05-31Lone Star?7th7th0
2026-05-09Lone Star?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/029/0527/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/02/20265th13/891%33%-0.58
21/03/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17
18/04/20267th11/271%0%-0.71
09/05/20265th5/287%20%-0.67
31/05/20267th3/184%33%-0.51
20/06/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
27/06/20262nd16/116%88%+0.72
11/07/20262nd7/163%91%+0.28
29/08/20262nd7/491%88%-0.03