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14

Al Suil Eile

10yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 51

Southwell · Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap · 1m 14y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Veteran is a 4-time C&D winner for Shaun Harris. Only second run back from 16 months off for new yard when a creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7f) 6 days ago. Possibilities in refitted cheekpieces.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 26/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 57 · 1m Sta 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/02/2025 · OR 57 par26/025OR 575 @ Southwell 11/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 56 · 1m13y Std 145 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/03/2025 · OR 56 par6 @ Southwell 21/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 56 · 1m13y Std 138 · beat its mark21/03/2025 · OR 56 par21/036OR 565 @ Doncaster 30/03/2025 · Pos 7th of 21 · OR 58 · 1m Gd 144 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/03/2025 · OR 58 par6 @ Southwell 20/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 57 · 7f14y Std 134 · beat its mark20/04/2025 · OR 57 par20/046OR 576 @ Beverley 24/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 57 · 1m100y Goo 132 · beat its mark24/04/2025 · OR 57 par6 @ Wolverhampton 28/04/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 57 · 1m142y Std 153 · below its mark28/04/2025 · OR 57 par28/046OR 576 @ Southwell 27/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 53 · 7f14y Std 133 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Wolverhampton 18/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 51 · 7f36y Std 133 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 51 par18/096OR 51projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-08-27Southwell66th6th0
2025-04-28Wolverhampton611th11th0
2025-04-24Beverley67th7th0
2025-04-20Southwell63rd3rd0
2025-03-30Doncaster57th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0230/0328/0418/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength25%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/02/20255th14/126%33%+0.07
11/03/20251st11/142%100%+0.58
21/03/20256th13/266%29%-0.37
30/03/20257th22/10%70%+0.70
20/04/20253rd9/153%83%+0.31
24/04/20257th11/142%33%-0.09
28/04/202511th7/163%17%-0.46
27/08/20266th100/10%44%+0.44
18/09/20264th33/10%57%+0.57