Ocean Force
5yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 54
Southwell · Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap · 1m 14y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Lingfield | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-19 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Bath | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-08 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |