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Potters Prince

4yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 54

Southwell · Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap · 1m 14y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-mileage 4-y-o. Solid efforts to make the frame in 1m handicaps at Lingfield (all-weather) and Yarmouth in the spring. Shaped as if in need of the run after 5 months off when fifth of 11 in handicap at Yarmouth (7f, good) 25 days ago. Not out of things on tapeta debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength60%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 22/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS22/1055 @ Chelmsford City 06/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 7f Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS6/1155 @ Lingfield 03/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 6f1y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS3/1256 @ Chelmsford City 29/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 58 · 7f Std 133 · beat its mark29/01/2026 · OR 58 par29/016OR 586 @ Lingfield 05/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 57 · 1m1y Std 132 · beat its mark05/03/2026 · OR 57 par5/036OR 576 @ Yarmouth 11/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 56 · 1m3y Gd 131 · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 56 par11/046OR 566 @ Yarmouth 30/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 56 · 7f3y GS 131 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 56 par30/086OR 56projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Yarmouth65th5th0
2026-04-11Yarmouth64th4th0
2026-03-05Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-01-29Chelmsford City65th5th0
2025-12-03Lingfield55th4th+1
2025-11-06Chelmsford City54th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1029/0130/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/202511th150/10%9%+0.09
06/11/20254th100/10%25%+0.25
03/12/20255th125/10%0%0.00
29/01/20265th25/10%56%+0.56
05/03/20263rd13/266%71%+0.06
11/04/20264th18/15%77%+0.72
30/08/20265th12/137%60%+0.23