Bluestone Lady
2yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 63
Southwell · Follow AtTheRaces On X Nursery · 7f 15y
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Musselburgh | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Musselburgh | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Musselburgh | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Leicester | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 4 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.59 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 14/07/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |