12

Eevee Star

2yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 59

Southwell · Follow AtTheRaces On X Nursery · 7f 15y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Got right back on track in first-time blinkers when fourth of 11 in 6f Newcastle nursery 22 days ago. This longer trip promises to suit so she merits serious consideration with Billy Loughnane now up off a 1 lb lower mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ripon 17/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS17/0543 @ Carlisle 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS9/0634 @ Beverley 03/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/0746 @ Thirsk 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 65 · 6f Goo 135 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 65 par24/076OR 656 @ Catterick 17/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 63 · 5f212y Goo 133 · below its mark17/08/2026 · OR 63 par17/086OR 636 @ Newcastle 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 60 · 6f1y Std 135 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 60 par2/096OR 60projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Newcastle64th4th0
2026-08-17Catterick67th7th0
2026-07-24Thirsk68th8th0
2026-07-03Beverley45th3rd+2
2026-06-09Carlisle35th1st+3
2026-05-17Ripon43rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/059/063/0724/0717/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength58%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20263rd15/261%71%+0.11
09/06/20265th5/287%43%-0.44
03/07/20265th9/153%33%-0.19
24/07/20268th12/137%36%-0.00
17/08/20267th14/126%14%-0.12
02/09/20264th10/147%70%+0.23