5

From Me To You

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 63

Southwell · Follow AtTheRaces On X Nursery · 7f 15y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Is 0-8 but took a step forward with third of 12 in 7f nursery at Wolverhampton 6 days ago, running on when short of room late on. Expected to be bang there eased 1 lb.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength67%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 17/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f34y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS17/0442 @ Leicester 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Kempton 04/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f Sta 133 · HIGHER CLASS4/0542 @ Newbury 18/07/2026 · Pos 23rd of 24 · OR 67 · 5f34y GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 66 · 5f6y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 66 par13/085OR 666 @ Windsor 29/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 65 · 6f12y Sft 135 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Windsor 07/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 64 · 6f12y Goo 134 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 64 par7/096OR 646 @ Wolverhampton 18/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 64 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 64 par18/096OR 64projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Wolverhampton63rd3rd0
2026-09-07Windsor66th6th0
2026-08-29Windsor610th10th0
2026-08-13Lingfield54th3rd+1
2026-07-18Newbury223th18th+4
2026-05-04Kempton46th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0418/077/0918/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/20267th7/282%25%-0.57
25/04/20267th8/158%45%-0.12
04/05/20266th11/142%38%-0.05
18/07/202623rd40/10%4%+0.04
13/08/20264th10/147%63%+0.15
29/08/202610th9/153%10%-0.43
07/09/20266th22/10%62%+0.62
18/09/20263rd10/147%82%+0.34