3

No More Pino

2yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 64

Southwell · Follow AtTheRaces On X Nursery · 7f 15y

#8

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Took a step forward when fourth of 13 on nursery debut at Kempton (7f) and backed it up when fifth of 11 at Lingfield (1m, all-weather) 4 weeks ago, despite going freely and fading late on. Very much one to consider back in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength62%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Salisbury 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/0654 @ Doncaster 03/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 6f2y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS3/0743 @ Ascot 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS10/0736 @ Kempton 19/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 65 · 7f Sta 135 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 65 par19/086OR 656 @ Lingfield 27/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 65 · 1m1y Std 135 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 65 par27/086OR 65projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Lingfield65th5th0
2026-08-19Kempton64th4th0
2026-07-10Ascot36th2nd+3
2026-07-03Doncaster49th7th+2
2026-06-09Salisbury55th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/063/0710/0719/0827/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength13%

Delivery trend -18.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/06/20265th25/10%60%+0.60
03/07/20269th14/126%20%-0.06
10/07/20266th125/10%17%+0.17
19/08/20264th11/486%75%-0.11
27/08/20265th9/488%60%-0.28