2

Revoked

2yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 64

Southwell · Follow AtTheRaces On X Nursery · 7f 15y

#12

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has hinted at promise in his 3 runs to date, not enjoying the smoothest of passages when seventh of 9 in novice at Leicester (7f, good) 16 days ago. Likely to do better now going into handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength84%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newbury 17/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 7f GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS17/0733 @ Ffos Las 04/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f80y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS4/0833 @ Leicester 08/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS8/093projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Leicester37th3rd+3
2026-08-04Ffos Las35th1st+3
2026-07-17Newbury39th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/074/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 4-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength72%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20269th33/10%27%+0.27
04/08/20265th18/15%33%+0.28
08/09/20267th20/10%25%+0.25