13

Roberts Legacy

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 58

Southwell · Follow AtTheRaces On X Nursery · 7f 15y

#13

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fared better than on her previous 2 runs when fourth of 11 in maiden at Lingfield (7f, all-weather) last month. Needs to take another step forward on her handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength63%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Yarmouth 26/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 6f3y GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS26/0655 @ Lingfield 25/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS25/0754 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS13/084projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Lingfield44th2nd+2
2026-07-25Lingfield56th5th+1
2026-06-26Yarmouth512th11th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0625/0713/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +30.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/202612th28/10%8%+0.08
25/07/20266th11/142%17%-0.25
13/08/20264th125/10%70%+0.70