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8

West To Rest

2yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 61

Southwell · Follow AtTheRaces On X Nursery · 7f 15y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Twilight Son filly who took a step forward on her third start with third of 6 in 6f maiden at Wolverhampton 17 days ago. May do better still now going into nurseries.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 04/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS4/0845 @ Lingfield 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f1y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS15/0855 @ Wolverhampton 07/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f20y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS7/095projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Wolverhampton53rd2nd+1
2026-08-15Lingfield56th5th+1
2026-08-04Lingfield45th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0815/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/08/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
15/08/20266th20/10%44%+0.44
07/09/20263rd25/10%60%+0.60