8
Because We Can
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 67
Southwell · Download The At The Races App Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 15y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | Lingfield | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-12 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-03 | Kempton | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-20 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Newbury | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 20/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/12/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 12/01/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 27/03/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 11% | -0.68 |