4
King Of York
7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 66
Southwell · Download The At The Races App Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 15y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Southwell | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Doncaster | 5 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Southwell | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 30/01/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 05/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/5 | 91% | 89% | -0.02 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 10/03/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 29/03/2026 | 18th | 33/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |