IvyArcIvyArc
9

Shades Of May

6yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 61

Southwell · Download The At The Races App Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 15y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

57%

Place Prob

42%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Thrived this year, winning 4 times on all-weather, including twice over C&D. Made all for latest success here last month and, though up in grade, he may well enjoy tactical advantages if employing the same style here and can go well.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength29%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 08/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 45 · 1m2f Std 126 · beat its mark08/01/2026 · OR 45 par8/016OR 456 @ Chelmsford City 12/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 45 · 1m Std 126 · beat its mark12/02/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Chelmsford City 21/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 48 · 1m Std 128 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 48 par21/026OR 486 @ Chelmsford City 26/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 47 · 7f Std 117 · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Southwell 11/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 51 · 7f14y Std 132 · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 51 par11/046OR 516 @ Southwell 07/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 54 · 7f14y Std 134 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Salisbury 21/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 54 · 6f213y Goo 155 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 54 par21/076OR 546 @ Yarmouth 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 54 · 6f3y GF 155 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Southwell 27/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 53 · 7f14y Std 133 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 53 par27/086OR 53projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Southwell61st2nd−1
2026-08-05Yarmouth64th5th−1
2026-07-21Salisbury63rd4th−1
2026-05-07Southwell68th9th−1
2026-04-11Southwell61st2nd−1
2026-03-26Chelmsford City61st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0126/0321/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength63%

Delivery trend -6.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/01/20268th40/10%13%+0.13
12/02/20261st33/10%100%+1.00
21/02/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
26/03/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
11/04/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
07/05/20268th5/287%22%-0.65
21/07/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62
05/08/20264th7/282%50%-0.32
27/08/20261st6/168%100%+0.32