7
Tactical Blitz
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 68
Southwell · Download The At The Races App Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 15y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Lingfield | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Newcastle | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength14%
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 12/01/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 40% | -0.15 |
| 22/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 27/04/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 30% | -0.44 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |