5

Bold Shout

3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 69

Southwell · Download The At The Races App Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 15y

#7

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won over 6f in August but hasn't progressed in handicaps since, though softer ground may well have been an issue when sent off short odds at Salisbury 13 days ago. Not one to write off now switched to all-weather and back up to 7f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 01/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS1/0644 @ Salisbury 09/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 6f213y Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS9/0644 @ Salisbury 12/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS12/0844 @ Newbury 26/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 70 · 7f GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 70 par26/084OR 705 @ Salisbury 11/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 70 · 6f Sft 135 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 70 par11/095OR 70projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Salisbury58th8th0
2026-08-26Newbury43rd2nd+1
2026-08-12Salisbury41st0th+1
2026-06-09Salisbury44th3rd+1
2026-06-01Newbury44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/069/0612/0826/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength12%

Delivery trend -12.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
09/06/20264th9/276%75%-0.01
12/08/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
26/08/20263rd9/488%60%-0.28
11/09/20268th1/195%36%-0.58