1
Herculeus
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 70
Southwell · Download The At The Races App Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 15y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Newbury | 4 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Newbury | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Ascot | 3 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-10-22 | Kempton | 3 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 20/09/2025 | 13th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 22/10/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |
| 01/05/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 02/07/2026 | 13th | 11/1 | 42% | 8% | -0.34 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 09/09/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |