Lieutenant Kije
3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 69
Southwell · Download The At The Races App Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 15y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Kempton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-07-16 | Ffos Las | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-31 | York | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 30% | -0.36 |
| 16/07/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 20/08/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |