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Arthur Carrot

2yo Colt · 9-7

Southwell · Free Bets On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 17y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made an encouraging start to his career in defeat to an experienced and above-average stablemate but possibly found the race coming too soon faced with softer ground when sixth of 9 in novice at Windsor (6f, good to soft) last month. Yard second string but worth another chance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 17/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f12y GF 13317/0844 @ Windsor 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f12y Gd 13029/084projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Windsor46th6th0
2026-08-17Windsor42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -131.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/08/20262nd22/10%90%+0.90
29/08/20266th4/179%38%-0.41