2

Blue Fox

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Southwell · Free Bets On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 17y

#8

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Blue Point gelding who didn't appear to have learnt anything from first time up when last of 5 in novice at Lingfield (7f) 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f Gd 13322/0843 @ Lingfield 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 7f1y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS3/093projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Lingfield35th4th+1
2026-08-22Newmarket46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength5%

Delivery trend +5.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20266th18/15%0%-0.05
03/09/20265th150/10%0%0.00