8

The Stony Baker

2yo Colt · 9-7

Southwell · Free Bets On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 17y

#11

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Timeform

Commentary

Dubawi Legend colt who was hooded and could hardly have shown any less when last of 9 in novice at Chester (6f, soft) on debut just under a fortnight ago. Tongue tie quickly goes on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chester 11/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f17y Goo 13011/095
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Chester59th10th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/20269th200/10%0%0.00