1
Leading Times
4yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 79
Southwell · Free Tips On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 4f 215y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
75%
Place Prob
61%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-09-23 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -12.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 25/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 86% | -0.07 |