4
Sunday River
3yo Filly · 8-13
Southwell · Free Tips On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 4f 215y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 14.8 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-28 | Naas | ? | 10th | 15th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |