Cayman Tai
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 68
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap · 4f 215y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
78%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Sandown | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Newmarket | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Brighton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Salisbury | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 12/06/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 15/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.61 |