6
Court Drive
5yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 65
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap · 4f 215y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Yarmouth | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Yarmouth | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Newmarket | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Yarmouth | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 02/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 05/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 16/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |