1
Fiorella Princess
4yo Filly · 10-2 · OR 70
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap · 4f 215y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Yarmouth | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Nottingham | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength90%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 26/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |