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5

Got The Booty

3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 68

Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap · 4f 215y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Still a maiden but runner-up twice at 6f on all-weather during her time with Tom Ward, including here. Off 11 weeks, shaped as if the run was needed for new yard when a fading fifth of 7 in 6f handicap at Kempton 22 days ago. Can build on it now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength63%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 28/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS28/0844 @ Kempton 24/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS24/0944 @ Southwell 09/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 6f16y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS9/0445 @ Southwell 23/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 7f14y Std 124 · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 75 par23/045OR 754 @ Catterick 21/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 75 · 5f212y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 75 par21/054OR 754 @ Windsor 15/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 73 · 6f12y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 73 par15/064OR 735 @ Kempton 02/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 70 · 6f Sta 138 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 70 par2/095OR 70projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Kempton55th5th0
2026-06-15Windsor49th8th+1
2026-05-21Catterick43rd2nd+1
2026-04-23Southwell54th4th0
2026-04-09Southwell42nd1st+1
2025-09-24Kempton42nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0823/042/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20258th11/142%30%-0.12
24/09/20252nd11/142%89%+0.47
09/04/20262nd5/696%80%-0.16
23/04/20264th7/163%63%-0.01
21/05/20263rd10/382%60%-0.22
15/06/20269th25/10%20%+0.20
02/09/20265th7/282%33%-0.48