Aunt Roberta
3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 75
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap · 1m 3f 24y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Goodwood | 2 | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newbury | 2 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-11 | Newbury | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -19.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |