11
Floating Market
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 70
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap · 1m 3f 24y
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength51%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Lingfield | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Southwell | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +28.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |