14
Khepri
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 61
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap · 1m 3f 24y
#14
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Ffos Las | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-07 | Pontefract | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-20 | Doncaster | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength9%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 18/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 01/09/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |