12

Kino Plasmat

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 67

Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap · 1m 3f 24y

#13

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well-bred filly who failed to improve as expected for switch to a handicap when fifth of 7 over 1m at Sandown last time but this longer trip may well suit better and she's not one to write off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Yarmouth 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS10/0644 @ Ffos Las 30/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS30/0644 @ Kempton 05/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m Sta 125 · HIGHER CLASS5/0845 @ Sandown 28/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 69 · 1m Gd 136 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 69 par28/085OR 69projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Sandown55th5th0
2026-08-05Kempton46th5th+1
2026-06-30Ffos Las44th3rd+1
2026-06-10Yarmouth44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0630/065/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -13.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/06/20264th12/137%70%+0.33
30/06/20264th9/488%57%-0.31
05/08/20266th80/10%58%+0.58
28/08/20265th9/276%33%-0.43